China Stablecoin and Trading Appetite Dwarfs Global Demand 9488

China

On-chain data shows Tether movements hitting a new all-time-high for 2Q19 with one month left on the calendar for the period. What is most striking, however, is the volume coming in and out of Chinese exchanges dwarfs western and global trading venues and accounts for more than half of the total transaction value of known parties.

Data provided to Diar by blockchain analysis firm Chainalysis highlights the magnitude of Chinese Tether demand with over $16Bn received by exchanges based in that market in 2018. This year the number has already surpassed an outstanding $10Bn, setting the stage for the biggest year yet.

2019 to date flows into exchanges catering primarily for Chinese traders beat the $7Bn of all the transactional value for 2017.

Tether on-chain movements stateside account for a tiny 3% of known volumes at $450Mn, more than $10Bn less than flows sent and received by Chinese exchanges.

And the demand is on the rise. In the 2018 bear market, Chinese exchanges accounted for 39% of all known on-chain transaction value for Tether. This year to date, the red dragon is responsible for a whopping 60%.

Global exchanges like Binance and Bitfinex have a share equivalent to half that at 31%, dropping from the 47% share seen for both 2017 and 2018.

US-based exchanges saw their share of the stablecoin demand/trading drop from 44% in 2017 to less than 10% in 2018.

This isn’t a matter of cashing out. The stablecoin movements on-chain are just shy of netting out between sent and received funds, indicating a cyclical nature and trading desire across all exchanges. The on/off nature is likely due to custody reasons from potential exchange hack concerns (see chart 3).

This similar character in the net balance of sent and received funds globally and across all regions suggests legitimate flows. There is no disparity or alternative behavior in the movement of Tethers sent to Chinese exchanges versus the transactions sent to regulated US-based trading venues.

On-chain movements out of China are telling and in stark contrast to what the industry now perceives as nothing more than fake volume following an extensive report by Bitwise, an asset management firm that filed for a Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Bitwise, which looked into 83 exchanges, found a mere 10 to be compliant across its own tests. And there are clear examples of dubious trading volumes that resemble simple algorithms filling up order books that fall far from reputable exchange trading trends.

On-Chain transactional volume in 2019 has gone up in unison with reported trading volumes.

While it may not be comparing apples to apples, it’s not comparing apples to oranges either. Massive amounts of funds are being moved into exchanges in China for no other purpose than trading. Even a single trade of Tethers moved onto Chinese exchanges would equal daily volumes equivalent to $215Mn for the month of April (the period Bitwise analyzed), which is three times as much as Coinbase and on par with Binance (see chart 5). This does not even take into account funds sitting on the exchanges.

The similarities in percentages of reported trading volume versus Tethers moved on and off exchanges is certainly not proof-of-innocence (POI) nor vindicating of potential wash trading and fake volumes.

But in consideration of the billions in Tethers moved on-chain in China that towers over US and world market transactional value, the estimate by Bitwise of 95% of cryptocurrency trading volume being fake is also likely to be far off the mark, possibly by magnitudes.

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BTC, ETH, XRP, BCH, LTC, EOS, BNB, BSV, ADA and TRX 7224

BTC

BTC/USD

Bitcoin reversed direction from $13,973.50 on June 26 and plunged to a low of $10,530.70 on June 27. That is a 24.63% fall within a day. The reason for such a sharp fall is that a vertical rally does not form any support levels en route. Hence, when the price starts falling, buyers do not step in until they spot a level that can act as a support. In this instance, buyers came in close to the 50% retracement of the latest leg of the rally. The 20-day EMA is located just below this level.

BTC/USD

In a strong uptrend, the corrections usually last anywhere between one to three days. Currently, the bulls are attempting to resume the uptrend. They might face some resistance at $12,000 and above it at $13,000 but the real test will be at $13,973.50. If the BTC/USD pair breaks out of this resistance, the momentum will continue.

On the other hand, if the bears defend the overhead resistance, the pair might enter into a consolidation for a few days. On the downside, below $10,530.70, the next support is at $9,977.33, which is 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the latest leg of the rally. If this support cracks, the digital currency will weaken and can drop to the 50-day SMA.

ETH/USD

Though Ether (ETH) had closed (UTC time frame) above $320.840 on June 26 and had completed a rounding bottom pattern, we had suggested traders to wait before buying. We wanted to recommend a trade on a successful retest of the breakout level.

ETH/USD

However, the fall on June 27 dragged the price back towards the 20-day EMA, which held. Currently, the bulls are trying to propel the ETH/USD pair back above $320.840. If successful, it will be a positive sign. Both the moving averages are sloping up and the RSI is in the positive zone, which shows that bulls are in command. Therefore, traders can buy 50% of the desired allocation on a breakout and close above $320.840. The stop loss for this trade can be kept at $278.

However, if the bulls fail to scale the overhead resistance, the bears will try to sink the price below the 20-day EMA. The next support on the downside is at the 50-day SMA and below it $224.086.

XRP/USD

Ripple (XRP) plummeted on June 27 and triggered our stop loss suggested in the previousanalysis. It is currently trying to find support at the trendline of the symmetrical triangle. If this support holds, the bulls will again try to propel it above the resistance line of the triangle.

However, if the XRP/USD pair breaks down of the triangle, it will turn negative.  Currently, the 20-day EMA has started to turn down and the RSI has dipped below 50. This suggests that the bears have the advantage in the near term. A drop below $0.35660 will turn the trend in favor of bears.

XRP/USD

BCH/USD

Bitcoin cash (BCH) plunged on June 27 and broke below both the moving averages. Currently, the bulls are attempting to push it back above the 20-day EMA. If the price rises above the 20-day EMA, it can move up to $515.35. On the upside, the zone between $515.45 and the resistance line of the channel will act as a strong barrier.

BCH/USD

Conversely, if the bears sink the BCH/USD pair back below the 50-day SMA, it can correct to the support line of the channel. A breakdown of this support will indicate a change in trend. The 20-day EMA is flattening out and the RSI is just above 50, which suggests a balance between bulls and bears. We will wait for a buy setup to form before recommending a long position in it.

LTC/USD

Litecoin (LTC) dropped below the 20-day EMA on June 26 and triggered our recommended stop loss mentioned in the previous analysis. It is currently attempting to bounce off the 50-day SMA.

LTC/USD

If successful, the LTC/USD pair will again try to move up to the resistance line of the ascending channel. On the other hand, if the bears sink the pair below the 50-day SMA, it can slide to the support line of the channel. A breakdown of this support will signal a change in trend. The 20-day EMA is turning down and the RSI has dipped below the midpoint. This suggests that the bears have the upper hand in the short term. Currently, we are neutral on the cryptocurrency.

EOS/USD

EOS dropped below the moving averages on June 26 and broke below the support line of the ascending channel the next day. In doing so, it triggered our suggested stop loss at $6.40. Currently, the bulls are trying to push the price back into the channel. If successful, the digital currency might move up to the moving averages.

EOS/USD

But if the bulls fail, the EOS/USD pair might turn down and plunge to the next support at $4.4930. The 20-day EMA is turning down and is on the verge of completing a bearish crossover, which is a negative sign. The RSI has also dipped into the negative zone. All these show that the bears have the upper hand. We do not find any reliable buy setup hence, we are not recommending a trade in it.

BNB/USD

Binance Coin (BNB) has been one of the strongest major cryptocurrencies. Even while other major cryptocurrencies plunged, it has held close to its 20-day EMA. This shows that the sentiment is to buy it on every dip.

BNB/USD

Currently, the bulls are trying to defend the 20-day EMA. If successful, a rally back towards the lifetime highs is likely. A new high will indicate resumption of the uptrend.

Conversely, if the BNB/USD pair plummets below the 20-day EMA, it can correct to the 50-day SMA. A breakdown below the 50-day SMA will be the first indication that the trend might change. The negative divergence on the RSI is a warning sign that should be watched closely.

BSV/USD

Bitcoin SV (BSV) reversed direction from just above $240 on June 26 and broke below the 20-day EMA. Currently, the bulls are attempting to bounce off the support at $180.

BSV/USD

The 20-day EMA has flattened out and the RSI has dipped back to just above the midpoint. This points to a probable range-bound action between $175 and $255.620 in the short term. A breakout of the range will resume the uptrend that has a target objective of $307.789 and above it $340.248. If the bears sink the BSV/USD pair below the support of the range, a drop to the 50-day SMA is possible.

ADA/USD

Though Cardano (ADA) broke out of $0.10 on June 26, it did not close (UTC time frame) above the resistance. Hence, it did not trigger our buy recommendation given in the previous analysis.

ADA/USD

The failure to break out of $0.10 attracted selling that dragged the price down to the 50-day SMA. The bulls are attempting to hold this level. If successful, the ADA/USD pair might move back into the ascending triangle. It will pick up momentum on a breakout and close (UTC time frame) above $0.10. However, if the price fails to climb back up, the pair might correct to the next support of $0.077 and below it to $0.073.

TRX/USD

Tron (TRX) turned down sharply from $0.040 on June 26. The pullback plunged below the 20-day EMA on June 27. It is currently attempting to bounce off the 50-day SMA. The 20-day SMA is flattening out and the RSI has dipped below 50, which suggests consolidation in the near term.

TRX/USD

If the TRX/USD pair breaks below the 50-day SMA, it can drop to the uptrend line. A breakdown of this will indicate a change in trend. On the upside, $0.040 will continue to act as a stiff resistance. A breakout and close above $0.040 will indicate the resumption of the up move. We do not find any reliable trade setups at current levels, hence, we are not suggesting a long position in it.

Market data is provided by the HitBTC exchange. Charts for analysis are provided by TradingView.

6 ARRESTED IN THE UK AND NETHERLANDS IN €24 MILLION CRYPTOCURRENCY THEFT 8120

Today, the UK’s South West Regional Cyber Crime Unit (SW RCCU) in a joint operation with the Dutch police (Politie), Europol, Eurojust and the UK’s National Crime Agency (NCA) has arrested 6 individuals after a 14-month long investigation into a €24 million cryptocurrency theft.

The five men and one woman were arrested in simultaneous warrants this morning at their homes in Charlcombe, Lower Weston and Staverton (UK) and Amsterdam and Rotterdam (the Netherlands).

The theft, which targeted users’ Bitcoin tokens, is believed to have affected at least 4 000 victims in 12 countries, with the numbers continuing to grow.

The investigation relates to typosquatting, where a well-known online cryptocurrency exchange was ‘spoofed’ – or recreated to imitate the genuine site – to gain access to victims’ Bitcoin wallets, stealing their funds and login details.

This case was referred to the European Cybercrime Centre (EC3) and the Joint Cybercrime Action Taskforce (J-CAT) hosted at Europol after the British authorities identified possible suspects living in the Netherlands. Operational support delivered by EC3 since February 2018 allowed the J-CAT to coordinate the international cooperation between the different EU Member States involved.

In addition, operational meetings were organised at Europol’s headquarters between the British and Dutch authorities, allowing for the smooth exchange of intelligence and evidence which led to these successful arrests. A coordination meeting was also held at Eurojust to prepare for the action day.

The eToroX Libra Implementation 8457

Facebook’s announcement this week about its cryptocurrency Libra has far-reaching potential. eToroX’s Labs Blockchain Science team, comprising Chief Blockchain Scientist Dr. Omri Ross, Peter Emil Jensen, and Johannes Rude Jensen, was quick off the mark to investigate how our eToro tokenized assets (and the technology behind them) would work on Libra’s initial prototype, and how well it suited our specifications.

By exploring Libra’s capabilities, and using Move IR (the intermediary representative layer of what will eventually be the final programming language), they successfully managed to implement an initial version of eToro tokenized assets on the Libra Network.

Using a previous incarnation of an implementation that targeted Ethereum as a basis, the team wrote and executed a basic implementation for creating digital asset infrastructure (tokenization capabilities) on Libra.

Our Top Two Takeaways

1. In Move, resources (data structure types) cannot be moved or copied — an extremely constructive and beneficial capability, especially for digital assets, since it prevents accidental duplication and loss.

2. Contrary to other blockchain languages, Move does not allow publishing data on behalf of other users. Because of this, it requires users to acknowledge this beforehand, thereby giving users full control of which data is associated with them.

Read the full report of eToroX’s Libra Implementation on Github.

Which Coins Will Likely To Be Affected By The Binance Shutdown By The US? 10384

Binance has recently announced that they will no longer allow access of US traders to the exchange, starting September 12, 2019. Although Binance has stated that they will be partnering with Bam Trading to create a US compliant exchange, there is still no time frame on when this will be active – and we can also assume that it will be a minimal function, to begin with for US customers.

In the meantime, we can assume that the volume for the majority of cryptocurrencies that were available to US customers on Binance will now suffer significantly over the next few months as US customers have limited options to trade the cryptocurrencies elsewhere.

The following chart shows which of the coins which are listed on Binance are also listed on other US exchanges. Those include Coinbase, Bittrex, Poloniex, Kraken, HuobiUS, and eToro.

The research is very eye-opening as it shows how the majority of cryptocurrencies will now struggle to find liquidity after the Binance US closure.

bin

Cryptocurrencies such as AE, HOT, LINK, NANO, ONE, VET, and WTC will have nowhere to trade for US customers. These cryptocurrencies should see a significant drop in volume during the upcoming months as they have nowhere for US customers to trade from, as of writing this. Of the above, Harmony (ONE) was the latest IEO on Binance Launchpad.

Binance Coin (BNB), the native token of Binance, will only be available to trade on eToro. In fact, there are quite a few top-flight coins that will be available to trade on just one US compliant exchange, including ARK, BTT, IOTA, PIVX, and ZIL. These cryptocurrencies are lucky to have one exchange but will still see a significant fall in volume coming from US customers after the Binance anticipated shutdown.

Veteran Altcoins At Less Risk
Although the previously mentioned cryptocurrencies may be in trouble, there is still a handful of cryptocurrencies that will be available on a range of US compliant exchanges that will not be affected by the recent Binance closure. These include cryptocurrencies such as XRP, DASH, XLM, ETC, ZRX, and ZEN – which are all on more than 4 US compliant exchanges.

The bottom line is that the recent Binance closure will send ripples throughout the entire cryptocurrency industry. Binance is the worlds largest cryptocurrency exchange with the highest reported volume. However, a large proportion of this volume is coming from US customers. After the US customers have been restricted, we will most certainly see a substantial drop in the amount of volume coming into the market. What is for sure, is that CZ, the CEO of Binance, is already working on a solution for his US customers.

OKEx Native Token OKB and OKLink Stablecoin USDK Listed on Bitfinex 10321

OKEx, a world-leading cryptocurrency exchange, announced the listing of its native token, OKB, on another leading cryptocurrency exchange, Bitfinex. Bitfinex will also list USDK, which is a stablecoin co-developed by OKLink, a blockchain technology company, and Prime Trust, a registered Trust Company based in Nevada, US (Read more). The nine new trading pairs will officially open on Bitfinex from 10am, June 13, 2019 (UTC), including USDK/USD, BTC/USDK, ETH/USDK, USDT/USDK, EOS/USDK, OKB/USD, OKB/BTC, OKB/ETH and OKB/USDT.

Empowering OKEx’s ecosystem, OKB allows OKEx users to perform various tasks such as setting up an OKEx partner exchange, settling trading fees, and subscribing for new tokens on the token sale platform OK Jumpstart. With multiple use-cases, OKB has been capturing more market share over the months, according to the data revealed on CoinMarketCap.

OKB, the native token of OKEx, is currently operating in the Ethereum Network (ERC20). Later this year, it will be migrated to OKChain, the blockchain which OKEx has been developing. And now, it is at the final testing stage.

“We aim to foster a new economy with blockchain technology. To achieve de-intermedium and financial inclusion, we do not work as an isolated island. We believe the key to prompt the market growth requires teamwork, which is the reason for us joining forces with other leading industry players to spark new chemistry,” said Andy Cheung, Head of Operations of OKEx. “OKB being listed on Bitfinex is just the beginning, it marks the recognition of our native token and platform from our peers, and we will continue to explore further opportunities in all-kinds of collaboration with other industry players. We never rest on cultivating a fair and transparent trading market and welcome partners with similar mindset to work together.”

Crypto.com Lists Binance Launchpad Tokens 10381

Crypto.com, the pioneering payments and cryptocurrency platform, announced today that it has listed 4 Binance Launchpad Tokens to its Wallet & Card App, including Matic Network’s MATIC, Celer Network’s CELR, Fetch.AI’s FET, and Harmony’s ONE.

These 4 tokens join a growing list of 31 cryptocurrencies and stablecoins on the Crypto.com platform, such as bitcoin (BTC), ether (ETH), Litecoin (LTC), XRP, TrueUSD (TUSD), PAXOS (PAX), and its own MCO and CRO Tokens.

Matic Network provides scalable, secure and instant Ethereum transactions using Plasma side chains and a Proof-of-Stake network. It aims to solve the problems faced by the blockchain ecosystem through building a decentralized platform using an adapted version of Plasma framework, which provides for fast and low cost transactions with finality on a mainchain.

Celer Network is an Internet-scale, trust-free, and privacy-preserving platform where users can quickly build, operate, and use highly scalable dApps. It is a networked system running on top of existing and future blockchains. It provides unprecedented performance and flexibility through innovation in off-chain scaling techniques and incentive-aligned cryptoeconomics.

Fetch.AI is a decentralised digital representation of the real world in which autonomous software agents perform useful economic work. They can perform tasks, such as delivering data or providing services, and are rewarded with a digital currency for their efforts — the Fetch.AI Token (FET).

Harmony is a fast and secure blockchain with key innovations in state sharding and peer-to-peer networking. Its sharding uses secure proof-of-stake and decentralized randomness, and its networking achieves optimal cross-shared routing and fast block propagation.

With MATIC, CELR, FET, and ONE added to the Crypto.com Wallet & Card App, users can now purchase these tokens at true cost with no fees – credit card and bank transfer both supported. As Crypto.com also offers the MCO Visa Card, this adds additional utility to the newly listed tokens as users can easily convert cryptocurrencies into fiat currencies and spend at over 40m merchants globally.

About Binance Launchpad
Binance Launchpad is an exclusive token launch platform of Binance that helps transformative blockchain startups raise funds to develop products that wants to drive cryptocurrency adoption. For more information, please visit: launchpad.binance.com.