Published earlier today, the Huobi DeFiLabs report compares spot and derivatives trading volumes on both centralized and decentralized platforms to identify the prevailing trends when it comes to crypto trading and make market cap projections. The platforms considered for this exercise are Huobi Global – a centralized crypto spot and derivatives trading platform, Uniswap for decentralized spot trading and dYdX decentralized derivatives platform.
It was found that during a 6-month period from Aug 6, 2020 to Feb 1, 2021, the daily trading volumes on DEXs, represented by Uniswap registered a 3.6x increase as against 1.6x increase in spot trading volumes on CEXs, as represented by Huobi Global Spot Markets. The study also found that derivatives trading is more popular on centralized exchanges than their decentralized counterparts, not to mention the absence of any direct correlation between spot and derivatives volumes on DEXs.
According to available data, spot trading on Huobi was about 19% of its derivatives trading volumes, whereas spot trading on Uniswap was 331% more than decentralized derivatives trading on dYdX. The distribution of volumes between spot and derivatives on CEXs is almost consistent across top 5 platforms, with derivatives trading 4.82 times the spot volumes. On the day DEXs reach parity with CEXs, average derivatives trading volume on dYdX based on Uniswap’s performance in the past 30 days is projected to hit $4.7 billion.
The Huobi DeFiLabs report indicates that among decentralized derivatives perpetual swap protocols continues to lead, with volumes worth $67.7 million. Based on the earlier projection, perpetual swap offerings have the potential to grow 50 times the current size. At present, there are 5 decentralized perpetual contract trading protocols – dYdX, DerivaDEX, Perpetual Protocol, FutureSwap and AlphaX, all with their own strengths and shortcomings. However, they all face one common issue which is shortage of adequate liquidity. Only FutureSwap using vAMMs and AMMs with low slippage liquidity mining seems to do a bit better than the rest. The shortage of liquidity on the rest is attributed to a higher percentage of market-place orders from short-term traders, resulting in increased deviation from latest prices.
Considering the average daily trading volumes and transaction counts, the Huobi DeFiLabs report concludes that Perpetual Swap is best suited for retail investors whereas dYdX and FutureSwap are favorable to professional traders and large investors with on-chain hedging needs.